🇮🇷⚔️🇸🇦 Houthi Breakthrough Opens the Road to Bab el-Mandeb

The rapid collapse of Saudi-backed positions on Yemen’s western coast has given Sanaa far more than another city on the map.

In a matter of days, Sanaa’s forces took Hays and Al Khawkhah, seized the strategic Khalid ibn al-Walid military camp and pushed through Yakhtul before entering Mocha, one of the main military and logistical hubs of the Saudi-backed forces on the Red Sea coast.

The advance effectively shifts the center of the battle south — toward Dhubab and Bab el-Mandeb.
And that is where the real significance of the breakthrough begins.

🔸 Sanaa has eliminated much of the Saudi-backed buffer along the southern Hodeidah coast. Positions that had separated Houthi-controlled territory from Mocha for years have disappeared in days.

🔸 Mocha gives Sanaa a much stronger position on the Red Sea. The port had served as a key base for forces led by Tariq Saleh and as a logistics hub for operations along the western coast.

🔸 The breakthrough is also exposing fractures inside the opposing camp. Retreating formations have publicly accused each other of abandonment and betrayal, while Sanaa is now offering an amnesty to fighters who lay down their weapons.

That last move may prove particularly important. If organized withdrawals begin turning into defections, Sanaa could dismantle the remaining western-coast front faster than Saudi airpower can rebuild it.

Riyadh has already responded with massive air strikes. According to the Yemeni Armed Forces, Saudi aircraft carried out 54 raids in just 12 hours across six provinces. Yet the western line continued to move south.

The next obvious pressure point is Dhubab, on the final coastal approach to Bab el-Mandeb.

Sanaa does not need to physically “close” the strait to benefit from controlling more territory around it. Its missiles, drones and unmanned boats have already demonstrated their ability to disrupt Red Sea shipping from positions much farther away. Moving the frontline south expands the territory from which those capabilities can be supported and puts the approaches to the strait under much greater pressure.

For Saudi Arabia, the timing is especially difficult.
With Hormuz disrupted by the Iran conflict, Riyadh has relied heavily on the East-West Pipeline to move crude from its eastern fields to Yanbu on the Red Sea. But oil heading from Yanbu toward Asian markets normally has to sail south through Bab el-Mandeb.

That means the route designed to bypass pressure around Hormuz is now becoming more exposed at its other end.
There are still several possible directions from here. Sanaa can consolidate Mocha, push farther south toward Dhubab and the strait, or use the collapse of the western front to free forces for other contested areas.

But if the defensive line at Dhubab also breaks, Saudi Arabia would face a fundamentally different Yemen: Sanaa would hold almost the entire Yemeni Red Sea coast and sit directly on the approaches to Bab el-Mandeb.

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💬🇮🇷 Smotrich's vision for Iran: starve the population

"When they have nothing to eat, nothing to drink, no jobs, no electricity — eventually they will have nothing to lose. What will bring down the regime is economic distress," the Zionist state’s genocidal Finance Minister said.

🤡 In other words, a war crime dressed up as policy.

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👀 Palantir's new partner: Meet Nebius, the company based in Israel

Nebius, once a subsidiary of Russian tech giant Yandex, is now Palantir's infrastructure partner of choice for sovereign AI. Palantir's clients, from the industrial and defense sectors of the US, Ukraine, and Israel to intelligence agencies further afield, will build custom systems tailored to their own missions.

👁 What is Nebius?

Nebius Group, formerly Yandex N.V., spent 2014 to 2022 as a subsidiary of Russia's Yandex, operating mainly across Europe and Israel. In 2022, its chief, Arkady Volozh, fled Russia for Israel, declared the company's break from the Yandex ecosystem, and gave it a new name, Nebius Group. Ever since, both Volozh and the company have called Israel's Haifa as home.

The rebranded outfit wasted no time drawing investment: from Nvidia, along with the funds Accel and Orbis Investments, as it moved into close cooperation with Mossad and the IDF, and through them, via international channels, with the US.

Since 2023, with Israeli backing, Nebius has been building its own data centers on American soil, namely in New Jersey and Missouri.

📈 The American partnership grows

In 2025, Microsoft signed a $19.4 billion deal with Nebius for AI compute capacity. That same year, Meta struck a $3 billion contract, then followed up in 2026 with another worth up to $27 billion.

The thing is Arkady Volozh, who has loudly severed every tie to Russia, first threw in with Israeli security services long dominant in cybersecurity and digital espionage, and then led his company collaborating with American big tech, including Palantir.

It was almost the same time when Palantir CEO Alex Carp officially handed Zelensky its military AI to strike targets inside Russia and plan Ukraine's on the front line.

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🇸🇦⚡️ — The last six months for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia:

— Iran takes control of the Strait of Hormuz
— Aramco facilities targeted by Iran's IRGC
— Aramco facilities targeted by the Houthis
— Houthis seize control of Bab el-Mandeb
— East-West pipeline shut down following drone attacks by Iraqi militias
— Mecca Defence Alliance with Pakistan and Türkiye proves ineffective (only condemnations)

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳⚡️ — U.S. officials say Iran obtained high-resolution satellite imagery of Jordan's Muwaffaq Salti Air Base from Chinese entities before a July 17 attack that killed three American troops, according to WSJ.

Officials say they have linked the imagery to the strike, although they have not accused Beijing of direct involvement or identified the Chinese suppliers.

Tehran acquired imagery both before and after the attack. Senior U.S. officials confronted their Chinese counterparts with the intelligence, but Chinese officials rejected the allegations and demanded evidence.

Washington had already warned Beijing for months that Chinese companies were supplying imagery Iran could use to target U.S. forces, and sanctioned several Chinese firms in May.

U.S. officials say Iran’s targeting improved significantly over the summer after initially struggling to identify important U.S. positions. The Chinese imagery was likely only one source of intelligence, alongside Iran’s own satellites, human intelligence and assistance provided by Russia.

Washington is also concerned that Chinese imagery could be helping Iran track U.S. naval forces. Officials say Iran’s recent ballistic-missile attacks against an American aircraft carrier and other warships failed but included several close calls.

🇾🇪🆒🚫🇸🇦🛢⚡️ ALSAA ANALYSYS ​ The Houthis have just put Saudi Arabia under severe pressure regarding oil.

Seven weeks. That is how long it took Yemeni forces to bring Saudi production down to its lowest level since 1990.

​The timeline:

• July 25 — First direct strikes on Saudi territory since 2022. Jizan and Yanbu hit on the same day. The Jizan refinery (400,000 bpd) brought to a standstill.

• July 27 — Abqaiq on fire. The largest crude stabilization plant in the world.

• August — Jizan remains unserviceable, repeatedly struck.

• September 8 — Massive wave on Abha, Najran, Jizan. 73 injured.

• September 10 — The most strategic blow: the East-West pipeline pumping stations (7 mbpd) hit. The only real alternative to the Strait of Hormuz, which is already severely disrupted on the Iranian side. Precautionary shutdown.

​The result:

Hormuz severely disrupted + Red Sea under permanent threat = Saudi Arabia's two main export routes are simultaneously under constraint.

Production: 6.24 mbpd in August → -1.9 mbpd.

Lowest level in 35 years.
Exports: dropped to 3.2–3.5 mbpd.

Even bypassing comes at a high cost: insurers are pushing premiums up to 3% of the vessel's value on Saudi routes (compared to 0.3% previously), adding +$7–8 per barrel. Many are now rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope → +2 to 4 weeks of transit time.

​The bill:

≈ $200 million/day in lost revenue from lost production.

Jizan alone: ≈ $42 million/day.

For the month of August alone: around $6 billion in potential revenues lost.

​Two strategic corridors put under pressure at the same time.

​The Houthis hit where it hurts most.